Lockness Monster: College Basketball

Show only below-fair gamesThin wide bid-ask

Tip (CT)	Spread	Fair	Robinhood	Gap	Kraken
11:00 AM	Morehead St. +35.5Pinnacle line Louisville −38 · Robinhood line 35.5Kraken: Louisville by 29.3 · 8.7 pts under the line	40.9%est.	44¢	-3.1¢	Louisville by 29.38.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
11:00 AM	@Louisville −35.5	59.1%est.	57¢	+2.1¢	Louisville by 29.38.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
12:00 PM	North Carolina A&T +12.5Pinnacle line Ohio −13 · Robinhood line 12.5Kraken: Ohio by 5.4 · 7.6 pts under the line	47.2%est.	47¢	+0.2¢	Ohio by 5.47.6 pts under the linehome court assumed
12:00 PM	@Ohio −12.5	52.8%est.	55¢	-2.2¢	Ohio by 5.47.6 pts under the linehome court assumed
1:00 PM	Cal St. Fullerton +1.5Pinnacle line South Dakota −1 · Robinhood line 1.5Kraken: Cal St. Fullerton by 0.5 · 1.5 pts under the line	51.4%est.	53¢	-1.6¢	Cal St. Fullerton by 0.51.5 pts under the line
1:00 PM	@South Dakota −1.5	48.6%est.	49¢	-0.4¢	Cal St. Fullerton by 0.51.5 pts under the line
1:00 PM	Toledo +3.5Pinnacle line Marshall −2.5 · Robinhood line 3.5Kraken: Toledo by 3.5 · 6.0 pts under the line	53.2%est.	55¢	-1.8¢	Toledo by 3.56.0 pts under the linehome court assumed
1:00 PM	@Marshall −3.5	46.8%est.	47¢	-0.2¢	Toledo by 3.56.0 pts under the linehome court assumed
1:00 PM	UNC Wilmington −3.5Pinnacle line UNC Wilmington −4.5 · Robinhood line 3.5Kraken: UNC Wilmington by 3.6 · 0.9 pts under the line	54.6%est.	56¢	-1.4¢	UNC Wilmington by 3.60.9 pts under the line
1:00 PM	@East Carolina +3.5	45.4%est.	45¢	+0.4¢	UNC Wilmington by 3.60.9 pts under the line
2:00 PM	Long Beach St. +10.5Kraken: Montana St. by 10.0 · 0.5 pts under the line	51.0%	52¢	-1.0¢	Montana St. by 10.00.5 pts under the line
2:00 PM	@Montana St. −10.5	49.0%	50¢	-1.0¢	Montana St. by 10.00.5 pts under the line
2:00 PM	VCU −2.5Kraken: VCU by 3.9 · 1.4 pts over the line	50.3%	50¢	+0.3¢	VCU by 3.91.4 pts over the line
2:00 PM	@Memphis +2.5	49.7%	51¢	-1.3¢	VCU by 3.91.4 pts over the line
2:30 PM	Colorado +3.5Kraken: San Diego St. by 6.1 · 2.6 pts over the line	48.9%	50¢	-1.1¢	San Diego St. by 6.12.6 pts over the line
2:30 PM	@San Diego St. −3.5	51.1%	51¢	+0.1¢	San Diego St. by 6.12.6 pts over the line
3:00 PM	Monmouth +6.5Kraken: Rhode Island by 6.1 · 0.4 pts under the line	50.7%	51¢	-0.3¢	Rhode Island by 6.10.4 pts under the line
3:00 PM	@Rhode Island −6.5	49.3%	50¢	-0.7¢	Rhode Island by 6.10.4 pts under the line
3:00 PM	Nebraska Omaha +26.5Pinnacle line Utah St. −28.5 · Robinhood line 26.5Kraken: Utah St. by 19.8 · 8.7 pts under the line	41.0%est.	46¢	-5.0¢	Utah St. by 19.88.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
3:00 PM	@Utah St. −26.5	59.0%est.	58¢	+1.0¢	Utah St. by 19.88.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
3:00 PM	Oakland +11.5Pinnacle line UC Santa Barbara −13 · Robinhood line 11.5Kraken: UC Santa Barbara by 11.1 · 1.9 pts under the line	43.9%est.	43¢	+0.9¢	UC Santa Barbara by 11.11.9 pts under the line
3:00 PM	@UC Santa Barbara −11.5	56.1%est.	58¢	-1.9¢	UC Santa Barbara by 11.11.9 pts under the line
3:00 PM	Samford +11.5Pinnacle line UNLV −11 · Robinhood line 11.5Kraken: UNLV by 12.5 · 1.5 pts over the line	51.7%est.	53¢	-1.3¢	UNLV by 12.51.5 pts over the line
3:00 PM	@UNLV −11.5	48.3%est.	49¢	-0.7¢	UNLV by 12.51.5 pts over the line
4:00 PM	New Mexico St. +30.5Pinnacle line Gonzaga −29 · Robinhood line 30.5Kraken: Gonzaga by 20.8 · 8.2 pts under the line	55.8%est.	54¢	+1.8¢	Gonzaga by 20.88.2 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	@Gonzaga −30.5	44.2%est.	49¢	-4.8¢	Gonzaga by 20.88.2 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	Northern Iowa +3.5Pinnacle line Furman −5 · Robinhood line 3.5Kraken: Furman by 0.3 · 4.7 pts under the line	44.7%est.	45¢	-0.3¢	Furman by 0.34.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	@Furman −3.5	55.3%est.	57¢	-1.7¢	Furman by 0.34.7 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	Tennessee Martin −3.5Pinnacle line Tennessee Martin −3 · Robinhood line 3.5Kraken: IU Indy by 6.5 · 9.5 pts under the line	46.0%est.	47¢	-1.0¢	IU Indy by 6.59.5 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	@IU Indy +3.5	54.0%est.	56¢	-2.0¢	IU Indy by 6.59.5 pts under the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	VMI +3.5Pinnacle line UTSA −4.5 · Robinhood line 3.5Kraken: UTSA by 9.5 · 5.0 pts over the line	44.2%est.	45¢	-0.8¢	UTSA by 9.55.0 pts over the linehome court assumed
4:00 PM	@UTSA −3.5	55.8%est.	57¢	-1.2¢	UTSA by 9.55.0 pts over the linehome court assumed
5:00 PM	Hampton +19.5Pinnacle line George Washington −18.5 · Robinhood line 19.5Kraken: George Washington by 13.4 · 5.1 pts under the line	52.3%est.	53¢	-0.7¢	George Washington by 13.45.1 pts under the linehome court assumed
5:00 PM	@George Washington −19.5	47.7%est.	48¢	-0.3¢
5:00 PM	Northern Arizona +26.5Pinnacle line New Mexico −27.5 · Robinhood line 26.5Kraken: New Mexico by 21.1 · 6.4 pts under the line	46.1%est.	45¢	+1.1¢	New Mexico by 21.16.4 pts under the linehome court assumed
5:00 PM	@New Mexico −26.5	53.9%est.	57¢	-3.1¢	New Mexico by 21.16.4 pts under the linehome court assumed
6:00 PM	Mercer +10.5Pinnacle line Davidson −11.5 · Robinhood line 10.5Kraken: Davidson by 10.5 · 1.0 pts under the line	46.4%est.	46¢	+0.4¢	Davidson by 10.51.0 pts under the line
6:00 PM	@Davidson −10.5	53.6%est.	55¢	-1.4¢	Davidson by 10.51.0 pts under the line
6:00 PM	Nebraska −2.5Pinnacle line Nebraska −3 · Robinhood line 2.5Kraken: Nebraska by 2.2 · 0.8 pts under the line	52.2%est.	53¢	-0.8¢	Nebraska by 2.20.8 pts under the line
6:00 PM	@Providence +2.5	47.8%est.	49¢	-1.2¢	Nebraska by 2.20.8 pts under the line
6:00 PM	Northern Illinois +19.5Kraken: Dayton by 15.9 · 3.6 pts under the line	50.0%	51¢	-1.0¢	Dayton by 15.93.6 pts under the linehome court assumed
6:00 PM	@Dayton −19.5	50.0%	51¢	-1.0¢	Dayton by 15.93.6 pts under the linehome court assumed
6:00 PM	St. Bonaventure −9.5Kraken: St. Bonaventure by 10.3 · 0.8 pts over the line	47.8%	50¢	-2.2¢	St. Bonaventure by 10.30.8 pts over the line
6:00 PM	@Canisius +9.5	52.2%	52¢	+0.2¢	St. Bonaventure by 10.30.8 pts over the line
6:30 PM	Denver +1.5Pinnacle line UC Riverside −2 · Robinhood line 1.5Kraken: UC Riverside by 2.1 · 0.1 pts over the line	49.4%est.	49¢	+0.4¢	UC Riverside by 2.10.1 pts over the line
6:30 PM	@UC Riverside −1.5	50.6%est.	52¢	-1.4¢	UC Riverside by 2.10.1 pts over the line
6:30 PM	Maryland −2.5Pinnacle line Maryland −3 · Robinhood line 2.5Kraken: Maryland by 0.0 · 3.0 pts under the line	50.8%est.	53¢	-2.1¢	Maryland by 0.03.0 pts under the linehome court assumed
6:30 PM	@Georgetown +2.5	49.1%est.	48¢	+1.1¢	Maryland by 0.03.0 pts under the linehome court assumed
7:00 PM	Pacific −1.5Pinnacle line Pacific −1 · Robinhood line 1.5Kraken: Pacific by 1.0 · 0.0 pts under the line	48.0%est.	48¢	+0.0¢	Pacific by 1.00.0 pts under the line
7:00 PM	@Bradley +1.5	51.9%est.	55¢	-3.0¢	Pacific by 1.00.0 pts under the line
7:00 PM	Southern Indiana +9.5Pinnacle line Evansville −9 · Robinhood line 9.5Kraken: Evansville by 5.5 · 3.5 pts under the line	53.5%est.	55¢	-1.5¢	Evansville by 5.53.5 pts under the linehome court assumed
7:00 PM	@Evansville −9.5	46.5%est.	48¢	-1.5¢	Evansville by 5.53.5 pts under the linehome court assumed
8:00 PM	Utah Valley −7.5Pinnacle line Utah Valley −8 · Robinhood line 7.5Kraken: Utah Valley by 9.2 · 1.2 pts over the line	51.4%est.	53¢	-1.6¢	Utah Valley by 9.21.2 pts over the line
8:00 PM	@Weber St. +7.5	48.6%est.	48¢	+0.6¢	Utah Valley by 9.21.2 pts over the line
9:00 PM	Fresno St. +9.5Pinnacle line UC San Diego −11 · Robinhood line 9.5Kraken: UC San Diego by 6.6 · 4.4 pts under the line	45.8%est.	45¢	+0.8¢	UC San Diego by 6.64.4 pts under the linehome court assumed
9:00 PM	@UC San Diego −9.5	54.2%est.	56¢	-1.8¢	UC San Diego by 6.64.4 pts under the linehome court assumed
9:00 PM	Portland St. +10.5Kraken: Seattle by 7.6 · 2.9 pts under the line	50.0%	51¢	-1.0¢	Seattle by 7.62.9 pts under the line
9:00 PM	@Seattle −10.5	50.0%	51¢	-1.0¢	Seattle by 7.62.9 pts under the line
9:00 PM	Sacramento St. +18.5Pinnacle line Santa Clara −19.5 · Robinhood line 18.5Kraken: Santa Clara by 10.6 · 8.9 pts under the line	45.1%est.	44¢	+1.1¢	Santa Clara by 10.68.9 pts under the linehome court assumed
9:00 PM	@Santa Clara −18.5	54.9%est.	57¢	-2.1¢	Santa Clara by 10.68.9 pts under the linehome court assumed
9:00 PM	San Jose St. +7.5Pinnacle line UC Irvine −8 · Robinhood line 7.5Kraken: UC Irvine by 8.1 · 0.1 pts over the line	48.3%est.	48¢	+0.3¢	UC Irvine by 8.10.1 pts over the line
9:00 PM	@UC Irvine −7.5	51.7%est.	53¢	-1.3¢	UC Irvine by 8.10.1 pts over the line
11:00 AM	North Dakota +10.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Winthrop by 8.5	—	53¢	—	Winthrop by 8.5
11:00 AM	@Winthrop −10.5	—	49¢	—	Winthrop by 8.5
1:00 PM	Colgate −3.5ThinNo Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Drexel by 0.3	—	38¢	—	Drexel by 0.3
1:00 PM	@Drexel +3.5Thin	—	73¢	—	Drexel by 0.3
1:00 PM	Lamar +2.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Lamar by 2.8	—	57¢	—	Lamar by 2.8
1:00 PM	@Abilene Christian −2.5	—	46¢	—	Lamar by 2.8
2:00 PM	North Carolina Central +13.5ThinNo Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Longwood by 11.3	—	62¢	—	Longwood by 11.3
2:00 PM	@Longwood −13.5Thin	—	50¢	—	Longwood by 11.3
2:30 PM	LIU +4.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: La Salle by 7.4	—	50¢	—	La Salle by 7.4
2:30 PM	@La Salle −4.5	—	53¢	—	La Salle by 7.4
3:00 PM	Lafayette +16.5ThinNo Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Saint Joseph's by 15.0	—	53¢	—	Saint Joseph's by 15.0
3:00 PM	@Saint Joseph's −16.5Thin	—	60¢	—	Saint Joseph's by 15.0
4:00 PM	Bellarmine +19.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Miami OH by 18.1	—	47¢	—	Miami OH by 18.1
4:00 PM	@Miami OH −19.5	—	55¢	—	Miami OH by 18.1
4:00 PM	Old Dominion −4.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Old Dominion by 7.2	—	51¢	—	Old Dominion by 7.2
4:00 PM	@Bucknell +4.5	—	50¢	—	Old Dominion by 7.2
4:00 PM	SIU Edwardsville +5.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Lipscomb by 4.1	—	49¢	—	Lipscomb by 4.1
4:00 PM	@Lipscomb −5.5	—	53¢	—	Lipscomb by 4.1
4:00 PM	Washington St. +12.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: High Point by 13.1	—	51¢	—	High Point by 13.1
4:00 PM	@High Point −12.5	—	50¢	—	High Point by 13.1
4:30 PM	Prairie View A&M +8.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: UT Rio Grande Valley by 3.9	—	52¢	—	UT Rio Grande Valley by 3.9
4:30 PM	@UT Rio Grande Valley −8.5	—	52¢	—	UT Rio Grande Valley by 3.9
4:30 PM	Western Carolina −3.5ThinNo Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Western Carolina by 3.6	—	47¢	—	Western Carolina by 3.6
4:30 PM	@UNC Asheville +3.5Thin	—	61¢	—	Western Carolina by 3.6
5:30 PM	Morgan St. +3.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Niagara by 4.8	—	55¢	—	Niagara by 4.8
5:30 PM	@Niagara −3.5	—	47¢	—	Niagara by 4.8
6:00 PM	Houston Christian −8.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Houston Christian by 5.4	—	53¢	—	Houston Christian by 5.4
6:00 PM	@Western Illinois +8.5	—	51¢	—	Houston Christian by 5.4
7:00 PM	Bethune Cookman +21.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Grand Canyon by 16.3	—	50¢	—	Grand Canyon by 16.3
7:00 PM	@Grand Canyon −21.5	—	52¢	—	Grand Canyon by 16.3
7:00 PM	Northwestern St. +20.5ThinNo Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Murray St. by 15.4	—	53¢	—	Murray St. by 15.4
7:00 PM	@Murray St. −20.5Thin	—	54¢	—	Murray St. by 15.4
7:00 PM	Southeastern Louisiana +8.5No Pinnacle line · Robinhood’s middle line shownKraken: Little Rock by 3.0	—	50¢	—	Little Rock by 3.0
7:00 PM	@Little Rock −8.5	—	53¢	—	Little Rock by 3.0

Reading the board

Spread is the Robinhood spread for each side. The favorite is “YES” on “wins by over”; the underdog is “NO” on the same market.
Fair is Pinnacle’s no-vig chance that side covers. est. means Robinhood’s line differs from Pinnacle’s, so fair was estimated at Robinhood’s line (within 3 points).
Gap is fair minus the Robinhood price. Green (shaded row) means Robinhood is selling below fair. Fees not included.
Kraken is a projected margin from Torvik efficiency, pace and home court (2.5 pts). Shown for reference only: it is unproven on spreads, runs low on big early-season spreads, and does not know about injuries.
Thin means the bid-ask spread is wider than 5¢, so the price may not hold.
Always confirm the price in the Robinhood app before buying.

Season Log · Spreads

Kraken disagrees (ATS)

18–19

-1.60 units at Robinhood price · fair expected 18.4 covers

Side Kraken favors when it is ≥ 3 pts off Pinnacle’s line

Green gaps (ATS)

17–15

+3.72 units at Robinhood price · fair expected 15.6 covers

Sides Robinhood priced below Pinnacle fair

Cover accuracy (lower is better)

0.285

Kraken vs Pinnacle 0.248 · 58 games

Brier score: average squared miss on cover %

Kraken side at	Games	Kraken said	Covered
50-55%	12	51.8%	58.3%
55-60%	8	57.3%	50.0%
60-65%	7	62.3%	57.1%
65-70%	10	67.5%	60.0%
70-100%	21	77.8%	47.6%

106 games logged · 58 final · 0 void · 48 pending · favorites covered 29 of 58 (fair expected 29.2) · 1 unit = $1 of contract cost